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A new approach for a drought composite index

  • Raissa Zurli Bittencourt Bravo
  • , Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha
  • , Adriana Leiras*
  • , Fernando Luiz Cyrino Oliveira
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Drought is one of the most critical meteorological hazards that has a devastating effect on natural habitats, ecosystems, and many economic and social sectors. Due to these severe impacts of drought events, many studies have focused on drought monitoring, prediction, and risk analysis to aid drought preparedness plans and mitigation measures. This paper presents a new drought composite index (DCI) to measure the intensity and frequency of the hazard component of meteorological drought. The DCI considers multiple indicators, such as precipitation, temperature, evapotranspiration, wind speed, relative humidity, and sunshine duration. The DCI is validated through an application to the Brazilian semiarid context. Based on the expert's opinion, we define the weight of each indicator using the analytical hierarchy process. The results were compared with two other drought indices to provide an initial validation because the other indices are not exclusively meteorological indices. The DCI estimates for January 2019 show that the semiarid central region is the most critical. The findings also indicate that the drought intensity is growing in this region.

Original languageEnglish
Peer-reviewed scientific journalNatural Hazards
Volume108
Issue number1
Pages (from-to)755-773
Number of pages19
ISSN0921-030X
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2021
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article - refereed

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 6 - Clean Water and Sanitation
    SDG 6 Clean Water and Sanitation
  2. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
    SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

Keywords

  • 117,1 Geosciences
  • AHP
  • Brazil
  • composite index
  • drought
  • hazard

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