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Pre-AI Sorting, Post-AI Inequality: Generative AI and the Gender Wage Gap

  • Malin Gardberg
  • , Fredrik Heyman
  • , Martin Olsson
  • , Joacim Tåg

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

We examine how gender-based occupational sorting before the release of ChatGPT relates to predicted exposure to generative AI and its potential implications for the gender wage gap. Using Swedish administrative data, we document that women are overrepresented in occupations predicted to be more affected by generative AI. Mechanical partial-equilibrium simulations, based on hypothesized deviations from the 2021 occupational and wage distribution and incorporating predicted AI exposure and task complementarity, indicate that generative AI may widen the gender wage gap through existing patterns of gender-based occupational sorting.
Original languageEnglish
Peer-reviewed scientific journalOxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
ISSN0305-9049
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2026
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article - refereed

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 5 - Gender Equality
    SDG 5 Gender Equality

Keywords

  • 511 Economics
  • complementarity
  • gender wage gap
  • generative AI
  • ccupational sorting
  • technological change

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